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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New England Patriots: An Analysis

January 11th, 2008 · 3 Comments

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Jacksonville Jaguars imageSo, I was trying to handicap the Pats - Jags game for some theoretical wagers with monopoly money. I was thinking that the lines were giving the Jags too much credit (sorry, I’m a fan too, but come on…) at +13. They’re just too weak in the secondary, and Brady is too dominant. Take Moss out of the picture with 2 guys, but who covers Welker?

But, I’m not as strong an anlyst as a couple of my brothers when it comes to handicapping the games. I asked for input, and here’s what I received:

I think the pat’s are gonna win by over 21 points. Here’s why:

• Belichick’s playoff record in New England: 14-2
• Brady’s playoff record at home: 6-0
• Belichick’s record against Jack Del Rio: 3-0
• New England’s lifetime record against Jacksonville: 7-1
• New England’s 2007 regular-season record: 16-0
• Number of ‘07 Patriots wins by 14-plus points: 11
• Record of ‘07 Jags after falling behind by more than seven points: 0-4

The difference in the game is going to be Wes Welker. Jax has no one to cover him, no one! Get as many points as possible, but probably not going to be enough, I’d take N.E. at plus 18 if I had to, it’s gonna’ be viscious.

How sick is it that I have to talk about my favorite team in the Divisional Playoffs not in terms of winning or losing, but just how badly their going to lose?

Nicely done by little bro’, wouldn’t you say?

Tags: Jaguars

3 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Jenn // Jan 11, 2008 at 4:12 pm

    I’m an Eagles fan, but I’m totally pulling for the Pats. I just don’t see the Jags having a chance. Props to little bro’!

  • 2 Tim // Jan 11, 2008 at 8:18 pm

    Well, who I’m pulling for and who I think will win don’t go together this week. My heart is for the Jaguars, but my head tells me Pats by 20.

  • 3 Is it game time yet? // Jan 12, 2008 at 4:25 pm

    […] I’m not the greatest football handicapper, so I asked my brother to drop some knowledge about the matchup. He gave me some pretty solid food for thought: BuccaneerMike’s analysis of the Patriots vs. Jaguars. […]

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